...agazine-profile hunting season bombarded Bachmann with Newsweek’s “The Queen of Rage” cover controversy, along with Ryan Lizza’s piece in The New Yorker, Bachmann still managed to keep her verbal boo-boos to a minimum so that Iowans would make her their Ames Straw Poll queen. Bachmann’s only task to continue this trend and to fight off newcomer Rick Perry was to not appear crazy – to defy the media’s caricature. But when Ed Rollins jumped ship fr...
...elatively safe in the Romney column and Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Mexico, and Nevada are relatively safe for Obama (although Nevada is much less safe than the rest). That leaves Wisconsin, Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, Colorado, Ohio, and Virginia as the states that will be in play next Tuesday. Now for the guesswork. Let’s give Florida to Romney – in the seven statewide polls conducted since October 17, Romney has lead Obama (statis...
...me about his ground game. As I said Thursday, Obama’s grassroots support will make him tough to take out, even in Paul Ryan’s home state. Final verdict: Obama, though not, obviously, by the double-digit margin he won in 2008. Iowa: Romney’s campaign has made four appearances here in the last five days, indicating that they think it’s a possible victory—and therefore a valuable one, despite its fairly small (six) number of electoral votes. If ther...
...e states for both parties (Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Michigan will all go for the Democrats), and assuming that Missouri, Indiana, and North Carolina break Republican, 86 electoral votes will be up for grabs, in seven states: Iowa, Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Florida, Virginia, and Ohio. The western states look bad for Romney, with the exception of Nevada, which has an unemployment rate of 12.8 percent, well above the national average, and whos...
...he president of the United States is not easy, especially in a political climate in which the opposition has never been more united behind the cause of making sure the president fails. As Obama made his final campaign stop in Iowa last night returning to the place he first launched his presidential campaign, I felt a surge of nostalgia of my former cynical self that scoffed at his lofty rhetoric and promises of change. Four years later, the recor...
In this presidential election year, where Governor Romney became the presumed Republican nominee in May and President Obama is the Democratic incumbent, some states across the country are just now reaching state and congressional primary season. In June, California, Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, South Dakota, Arizona, Maine, Nevada, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Virginia have already held their primaries. Except for South Dakota and...
...ent Catholics. He is a blue-collar Wisconsinite, adding a much-needed “common man appeal” that contrasts with Romney’s privileged upbringing. His Midwestern roots will also be appreciated in the critical swing states of Ohio, Iowa, and, of course, Wisconsin. Yes, Ryan’s presence on the ticket, coupled with strong support from Governor Scott Walker (particularly strong support now that a fellow Wisconsinite is in the VP slot) will undoubtedly forc...
...alistically exists to prevent a Romney nomination, and that is to make the race go to Tampa. So, Gingrich is going all in; not to actually win the nomination for himself, but to try to prevent Romney, the man who nuked him in Iowa and Florida, from becoming the nominee. The longer this race goes on, the greater the chance that President Obama wins reelection. The GOP candidates keep pushing themselves to the Right to appeal to religious conservat...
...st a state after being up more than 2 points, with less than two weeks to go. And it was Texas in 1992. Was Texas ever really gonna go blue? So forget Gallup, forget the national polls. You can even forget Virginia, Colorado, Iowa, and New Hampshire (all states Obama has leads in). Remember: Ohio, Wisconsin, and Nevada....
..., and their desire to score cheap political points by using ethanol as lip service to the obvious need for alternative energy sources. Politicians make ethanol out to be some kind of energy messiah—Senator Charles Grassley of Iowa famously said that, “Everything about ethanol is good, good, good”—and in June, Congress passed an enormous energy bill mandating the production of 36 million gallons of ethanol per year by 2022. This enthusiasm for eth...
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